Prophet Forecasting Dashboard — Distribution Center Demand

Interactive exploration of Prophet model results on 60 months of supply chain demand data. All calculations performed in R.

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Forecast Options

Data Summary

Training: Jan 2021 – Dec 2025
Observations: 60 months
Forecast: Jan – Dec 2026
Changepoints: 5 significant
Seasonality: Additive
2026 Mean Forecast
2026 Peak Month
Short-term MAPE
Trend Shifts

Analysis

Data source: Synthetic distribution center demand (set.seed(42)). Model: Prophet with additive seasonality, holidays.prior.scale=0.5, changepoint.prior.scale=0.05. All calculations performed in R using the prophet package. Reference: Taylor & Letham (2018), "Forecasting at Scale," The American Statistician, 72(1), 37-45.