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2026 Mean Forecast
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2026 Peak Month
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Short-term MAPE
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Trend Shifts
Analysis
Data source: Synthetic distribution center demand (set.seed(42)). Model: Prophet with additive seasonality, holidays.prior.scale=0.5, changepoint.prior.scale=0.05. All calculations performed in R using the prophet package. Reference: Taylor & Letham (2018), "Forecasting at Scale," The American Statistician, 72(1), 37-45.