The Resilience Ladder

Answer six questions about how your supply-chain organization actually operates. We place you on a five-level maturity ladder — then show you, from 3,000 disruption events, what firms at your level typically pay, how fast they recover, and how that compares to the reactive baseline and the adaptive best.
Illustrative self-assessment — not a prediction. Built on synthetic, observational data (xpertsystems/mfg006-sample). Patterns shown are associations, not causation. Use it to locate yourself and spot the next rung — not to forecast your next disruption.
Your posture
Compliant
Rung 3 of 5 · n = 1,428 events
Median disruption cost
$488k
vs reactive baseline
Median recovery
5.0 days
adaptive best: 4 days
Median mitigation effectiveness
4.69 / 10
reactive: 2.19 · adaptive: 7.60

The five-rung maturity ladder

Median outcomes per posture (synthetic data, n = 3,000). Your assessed rung is highlighted. Climbing the ladder tracks lower cost, faster recovery, and higher mitigation effectiveness — all at once.

Median disruption cost by posture — and its spread

Bars span the middle 50% of events (P25–P75); the line marks the median. Cost is heavily right-skewed, so we lead with medians. Your posture is shown in blue.

Median recovery time

Days to recover. Reactive 11 → adaptive 4.

Median mitigation effectiveness

Self-rated 0–10. Reactive 2.19 → adaptive 7.60.

It is not just that mature firms face milder shocks

Median cost re-computed within each severity band. The ladder still falls reactive → adaptive in low, medium, and high bands. (The critical band is omitted — its cells are as small as n = 4 and the ordering is noisy.)

What this says about your organization

Data & method

Source: xpertsystems/mfg006-sample — 3,000 synthetic supply-chain disruption events (113 columns). License CC-BY-NC-4.0 (attribution required, non-commercial). Dataset: huggingface.co/datasets/xpertsystems/mfg006-sample. Credit: xpertsystems.

Posture is the resilience_posture_pre_event field (reactive → aware → compliant → proactive → adaptive). All headline figures are medians (cost is right-skewed: median $512,738 vs mean $1,912,836). Controlling for severity and disruption type, each rung up is associated with ≈ −20.5% cost (p = 3.1×10⁻¹⁷, adj R² = 0.42) and ≈ −5.8 fewer recovery days (p = 0.0015). This is observational, synthetic data — association, not proof of cause. Your six answers are mapped to the ladder by averaging; this tool is an illustrative locator, not a forecast of your outcomes.