InPhroNeSys

Actionable Insights

Where SCM meets data science and AI.

Real-world methods for supply chain and operations management professionals who want to go beyond Excel — with reproducible code, realistic datasets, and techniques you can apply today.

About The Blog
Line chart: monthly demand actuals, forecast, and widening 95 percent prediction interval after today

Newest Entries

  • Of the Fox and the Lion: Coercion, Cunning, and Modern Power

    Machiavelli’s Chapter 17 and 18 are routinely misread. Force without cunning is brittle. Bonds of love break under stress. Here is what actually holds.

  • Mercenaries Will Ruin You: Machiavelli on Outsourced Core Capability

    Machiavelli’s argument against mercenaries was never about morality. It was about incentives. Apply it to consultants, gig labor, and outsourced core capability.

  • Virtù and Fortuna: The Limits of Strategic Control

    Machiavelli’s most enduring contribution is the dichotomy between virtù (the part of outcome the strategist controls) and fortuna (the part they do not). Half of action is shaped, half is not. The corporate misreading of which is which corrupts strategic learning at most companies.

  • The Void: Strategic Emptiness as Competitive Advantage

    Musashi’s final scroll is the shortest and the strangest. Ku is not Zen mysticism — it is the strategic condition of having no fixed form that a competitor can model. Three corporate expressions of emptiness, and the markets where form still wins.

  • Hyōshi: Musashi’s Discipline of Tempo

    Musashi’s Fire scroll is not about combat. It is about temporal dominance — who controls the rhythm controls the outcome. Three modes of initiative, and the void between intention and action where contests are decided.

  • The Way of Strategy: What a 17th-Century Swordsman Knew About Mastery

    A duelist who survived more than sixty contests wrote the manual that postwar Japan’s executives read instead of an MBA. Three reasons it still works.

  • Schwerpunkt: The Lost Art of Strategic Concentration

    Most strategy decks are budget arithmetic dressed up as a plan. Clausewitz had a single word for what is actually happening — and a discipline for fixing it. The lost art of Schwerpunkt.

  • Fog of War, Fog of Market: Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

    Clausewitz’s answer to uncertainty was not better data — it was better judgment. Two centuries later, most boards still demand certainty before authorising action, and most strategy windows close before the data is ready. This piece is about the qualities Clausewitz called coup d’oeil and Fingerspitzengefuehl, and what they mean when the dashboard is incomplete…